[arin-ppml] Looking for final show of support on revised Advisory Council Recommendation Regarding NRPM 4.1.8. Unmet Requests

Martin Hannigan hannigan at gmail.com
Sat Jun 8 22:54:11 EDT 2019


On Fri, Jun 7, 2019 at 10:42 AM Mike Burns <mike at iptrading.com> wrote:

> I agree with Robert and Bill that it is an illogical market distortion to
> have this source of free addresses.
>
> And that the assumption that “need” at an earlier point in time is still
> the same “need” when addresses randomly come available in the future is
> faulty.
>
> I would prefer to starve the waiting list to death, but apparently it
> continues to be fed by various inputs.
>

The list is probably killing itself.

2018

Largest approved ask is /15
Average approved ask was a /23
Median approved ask was a /24

2019

Largest approved ask is /18
Average approved ask was a /23
Median approved ask was a /24

Looking at a histogram, /23's and /24's are ~183 of the approximately ~353
on the list with ~68% in the buckets between a /20 and /24. The rest are
outliers, but big asks. There isn't enough history to trend (or I'm too
lazy to go that deep). However, if you break that apart on shorter vs.
longer boundaries, it is not unreasonable to believe that many of the /24's
are 'just because'. I'd argue the outliers are more prudent business people
who have figured out how to address their need already. "Waiitin' ain't
eZ".  Their position on the waiting list is now a cost recovery hedge. At
least that's how I might do it. I'd say on the shorter ask volume that's
mostly what the list is, a hedge.

So "no" for me.  The list is already suspended. The world hasn't stopped.
The sky hasn't fallen. Maybe better to get it right the second time instead
of rush to fix something that I can't tell if anyone really cares about.

Best,

-M<
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