[arin-ppml] "Leasing" of space via non-connectivity providers (was: Re: And so it ends... )

Owen DeLong owen at delong.com
Fri Feb 4 20:48:55 EST 2011


> 
> And there is an ENORMOUS amount of IPv4 tied up with end users right
> now.  Once the end users start shifting and letting it go, there
> will be tons of IPv4 available for hosting companies.  If for example
> the cellular carriers were to sunset their 3G networks tomorrow then
> there would be no IPv4 shortage.
> 
Not to rain on your parade or anything, but, once the end users have
shifted to IPv6 and deprecated their IPv4, what use is IPv4 to content
providers? Content providers need to provide the content to end users
for it to be useful, no? If the end-users are all on IPv6, I don't think IPv4
will help so much with that.

> The IPv4 "value" curve is going to be very, very sharp.  Over the
> next few years as supplies tighten the value of IPv4 will go up, but the moment that end users start accepting and using IPv6 then the value of IPv4 will collapse.
> 
s/years/months/

The value curve on IPv4 addresses will also serve as an incentive to deploy IPv6.

Owen




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