[arin-ppml] Some data relating to IPv4 address exhaustion (or not)
Eliot Lear
lear at cisco.com
Wed May 6 08:04:06 EDT 2009
Ted,
Here are some interesting data points for this group to consider.
According to the U.N., world economic growth dropped from 3.5-4% in
2003-2007 to 2.5% in 2008, and the prediction is for around 1% growth in
2009. At the same time, Geoff Huston's numbers have been shifting to
the right. In the case of IANA the number has shifted out 6 months in 6
months. We have not seen quite the same shift for RIR numbers,
however. Is world economic growth a controlling variable in the
equation of IP address consumption, or merely a coincidence, and how can
we tell?
Eliot
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