[arin-ppml] What will be the end result of IPv4 exhaustion?

[Ted Mittelstaedt]

> -----Original Message-----
> From: arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net 
> [mailto:arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net] On Behalf Of Scott Leibrand
> Sent: Tuesday, October 21, 2008 2:25 PM
> To: Owen DeLong
> Cc: ppml at arin.net
> Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] What will be the end result of IPv4 
> exhaustion?
> 
> 
> Owen DeLong wrote:
> > 
> > On Oct 21, 2008, at 12:10 PM, Scott Leibrand wrote:
> > 
> >> My own opinion is that whatever transfer/reclamation policy we 
> >> implement, it will simply smooth out and mitigate some of the 
> >> negative effects of an abrupt transition to IPv6.  To put 
> it another 
> >> way, it makes it possible to extend the dual-stack phase 
> of the v4-v6 
> >> transition so that we aren't forcing some organizations to 
> turn off 
> >> v4 before everyone else has turned on v6.
> >>
> > You do realize that's a pipe dream, right?  There simply 
> isn't enough 
> > IPv4 and time to make that realistic, and, the patterns of human 
> > behavior to date suggest that  a time extension will be 
> used primarily 
> > to procrastinate v6 deployment rather than achieve it.
> 
> I have a lot of respect for the motivating power of economic 
> incentives.
> 

Then let's place a progressive fee system into place for ARIN
allocations.

1 year before the last IPv4 is assigned a 10% surcharge to the
fee for IPv4 is applied.

9 months before the last IPv4 is assigned a 50% surcharge to the
fee for IPv4 is applied.

6 months before the last IPv4 is assigned a 100% surcharge to the
fee for IPv4 is applied.

3 months before the last IPv4 is assigned a 1000% surcharge to the
fee for IPv4 is applied.

1 month before the last IPv4 is assigned a $500,000USD surcharge to the
fee for any IPv4 is applied.

1 week before the last IPv4 is assigned a $1 million dollar surcharge
to the fee for IPv4 is applied.

The very last block of IPv4 assigned will be priced at $1 billion
dollars.  This is to ensure that only an organization that really, really
needs it will apply for it, and that they aren't just applying for it
for pure bragging rights.

How would that incentive work?  Seems to me that using that schedule we
could extend IPv4 runout indefinitely!!!!


Ted