[arin-ppml] What will be the end result of IPv4 exhaustion?

[Scott Leibrand]

Owen DeLong wrote:
> 
> On Oct 21, 2008, at 12:10 PM, Scott Leibrand wrote:
> 
>> My own opinion is that whatever transfer/reclamation policy we implement,
>> it will simply smooth out and mitigate some of the negative effects of an
>> abrupt transition to IPv6.  To put it another way, it makes it 
>> possible to
>> extend the dual-stack phase of the v4-v6 transition so that we aren't
>> forcing some organizations to turn off v4 before everyone else has turned
>> on v6.
>>
> You do realize that's a pipe dream, right?  There simply isn't enough IPv4
> and time to make that realistic, and, the patterns of human behavior to 
> date
> suggest that  a time extension will be used primarily to procrastinate v6
> deployment rather than achieve it.

I have a lot of respect for the motivating power of economic incentives.

-Scott