[arin-ppml] What will be the end result of IPv4 exhaustion?

[David Farmer]

On 21 Oct 2008 Owen DeLong wrote:

> On Oct 21, 2008, at 12:10 PM, Scott Leibrand wrote:
> 
> > My own opinion is that whatever transfer/reclamation policy we  
> > implement,
> > it will simply smooth out and mitigate some of the negative effects  
> > of an
> > abrupt transition to IPv6.  To put it another way, it makes it  
> > possible to
> > extend the dual-stack phase of the v4-v6 transition so that we aren't
> > forcing some organizations to turn off v4 before everyone else has  
> > turned
> > on v6.
> >
> You do realize that's a pipe dream, right?  There simply isn't enough 
> IPv4 and time to make that realistic, and, the patterns of human
> behavior  to date suggest that  a time extension will be used primarily
> to procrastinate  v6 deployment rather than achieve it. 
> 
> Owen

Not doing some amount of reclamation, will leave us open to a different 
pattern of human behavior.  In this case if we leave sizable chunks of 
address space obviously unused, no matter how trivial in the over all 
scheme of things.  It will be an existence proof that we really don't know 
what we are talking about, or that we have an "IPv6 agenda".

I'm not sure what for the reclamation should take but it does need to 
happen, at least all the trivially easy stuff.

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