[arin-ppml] What will be the end result of IPv4 exhaustion?

[Tom Vest]

On Oct 21, 2008, at 5:25 PM, Scott Leibrand wrote:

> Owen DeLong wrote:
>>
>> On Oct 21, 2008, at 12:10 PM, Scott Leibrand wrote:
>>
>>> My own opinion is that whatever transfer/reclamation policy we  
>>> implement,
>>> it will simply smooth out and mitigate some of the negative  
>>> effects of an
>>> abrupt transition to IPv6.  To put it another way, it makes it
>>> possible to
>>> extend the dual-stack phase of the v4-v6 transition so that we  
>>> aren't
>>> forcing some organizations to turn off v4 before everyone else has  
>>> turned
>>> on v6.
>>>
>> You do realize that's a pipe dream, right?  There simply isn't  
>> enough IPv4
>> and time to make that realistic, and, the patterns of human  
>> behavior to
>> date
>> suggest that  a time extension will be used primarily to  
>> procrastinate v6
>> deployment rather than achieve it.
>
> I have a lot of respect for the motivating power of economic  
> incentives.

I wish we had a bit more respect for the inspirational power of short- 
term economic incentives to trump long-term interests, and to reveal  
paths around weak (non) regulations, sometimes with very surprising  
results.

TV