[arin-ppml] ARIN-2015-3:(remove 30-day...) Staff interpretation needed

[Jason Schiller]

Richard,

Sorry for the continued back and forth...

Of the requests are unable to justify the block size they are
requesting with the heaviest consideration weight being
applied to their prior utilization trend, what percentage
are approved for a block larger than what their prior
utilization would have justified if that was the only
consideration?

___Jason





On Tue, May 10, 2016 at 2:43 PM, Richard Jimmerson <richardj at arin.net>
wrote:

> Hello Jason,
>
> John has asked me to provide answers to your questions below.
>
> Note that past utilization trends and future plans are both considered in
> every case, except in those less common cases where there is no prior
> utilization at all (e.g., NRPM 4.4 and 4.10). Sometimes the prior
> utilization is weighted more heavily, and other times the future plans are
> more heavily weighted. It is truly on a case-by-case basis where the weight
> is placed.
>
>
> From: <arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net> on behalf of Jason Schiller <
> jschiller at google.com>
>
> John,
>
> Thank you for the lengthy description.  I'm not sure I understand what your
> estimate means so I will attempt to restate them for clarity.
>
> It sounds like in 50% - 75% of the requests that are approved
> have historical utilization is sufficient to provide approval.  Example A
> & C.
>
>
> Correct. Many organizations are requesting a block size that is supported
> by the organization’s prior rate of utilization. We still review the
> information they provide about their future need, but can heavily rely on
> their demonstrated past utilization to support the block size they are
> requesting.
>
> Further, we are finding that many organizations in this 50-75% category
> continue to request less than they could qualify for in a 24-month needs
> assessment. It would seem they are still adjusting to the change from a
> 3-month (or 12-month for end-users) needs assessment to the 24-month
> assessments. When it is obvious this is the case, we communicate with the
> organization to ensure they are fully aware of the policies.
>
>
> It sounds like in 25% - 50% of the requests that are approved
> have historical utilization is not sufficient to provide approval.
> Example B.
>
>
> It sounds like you did not provide information on how often a request
> justified on a future projection is approved only in the amount justified
> by historical utilization Example C, or is altogether denied or abandoned.
>
>
>
> 25% - 50% of the requests are unable to justify the block size they are
> requesting with the heaviest consideration weight being applied to their
> prior utilization trend. This results in ARIN staff giving increased weight
> consideration to the documentation they provide supporting their future
> projections. Sometimes this results in the approval of the requested block
> size, other times it results in ARIN staff approving a block size smaller
> than what was requested. Even with 24-month needs assessments, we still
> find we are unable to approve the requested block size for all
> organizations when it is not supported by prior utilization history and/or
> the documentation provided to support future need.
>
>
>
> Do these numbers include both end-user and ISP requests?
> Could you provide a similar estimate broken down between end-user and ISP
> requests?
>
>
> This includes both end-users and ISPs. The percentage breakdown is very
> close between the two.
>
>
> Do both ISP requests and end-user requests have the same percentage
> of requests approved being more heavily weighted by historical utilization
> trend information?
>
>  Or do end-user requests have a higher percentage of approvals being
>  more heavily weighted by historical utilization trend information?
>
> Or do ISP requests have a higher percentage of approvals being
>  more heavily weighted by historical utilization trend information?
>
>
> Slightly more cases are approved based on stronger weighting of prior
> utilization for ISPs than for end-users. It is slightly more common for an
> end-user to request IPv4 from ARIN with no prior demonstrated utilization.
> We do note, however, that this may increase over time, as end-users find it
> more difficult to obtain a reassignment of IPv4 address space from
> providers post-depletion.
>
> Warm regards,
>
> Richard Jimmerson
> CIO & Interim Director of Registration Services
> American Registry for Internet Numbers
>
>
>


-- 
_______________________________________________________
Jason Schiller|NetOps|jschiller at google.com|571-266-0006
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