[arin-ppml] quantitative study of IPv4 address market

Milton L Mueller mueller at syr.edu
Thu Sep 6 09:37:10 EDT 2012


Should you be appalled by what seems to be perfectly rational behavior -- or by the dual stack migration strategy?

> -----Original Message-----
> From: arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net [mailto:arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net] On
> Behalf Of Paul Vixie
> 
> to me the most significant fact in all of this is that well capitalized
> organizations do not act as if, in any way, there was an impending ipv4
> exhaustion event, or even a shortage. they are by and large not treating
> ipv6 as though it was an imminent necessity. they know they can get ipv6
> and run dual stack or translators for it at any time. their panic is
> limited to laying in a long term supply of ipv4 because they will need
> one or more half-decades to turn ship. they imagine, dimly if at all,
> that less well capitalized enterprises will move first their growth and
> then eventually their installed base to ipv6 but will not lose the
> ability to reach ipv4 -- ever. in this view, 2**32 addresses will go to
> the highest bidder, except for the dribs and drabs needed for "the 99%"
> to use various kinds of NAT or address translation.
> 
> i am appalled. this is the same attitude that melts polar ice caps.
> 
> paul



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