[arin-ppml] ARIN-prop-176 Increase Needs-Based Justification to 60 months on 8.3 Specified Transfers

[William Herrin]

On Tue, Jun 26, 2012 at 2:46 PM, ARIN <info at arin.net> wrote:
> ARIN-prop-176 Increase Needs-Based Justification to 60 months on 8.3
> Specified Transfers
> [...]
> need for such resources in the amount which they can justify under current
> ARIN policies showing how the addresses will be utilized within 60 months.

OPPOSED at this time. I would like to reconsider this proposal or
another like it approximately 12 months after the exhaustion of the
ARIN free pool.


The potential risks this poses for the remaining free pool have been
discussed ad nauseum. Another concern is this: Unless you're in a
*very* well established business, 5-year projections are based on
major guesswork. This is doubly so since the not-easily-predicted
uptake of IPv6 will have a major impact on the continued demand for
IPv4 over the next 5 to 10 years. Even if you happen to be a very good
guesser, demonstrating the credibility of that guess ahead of time
will be nigh impossible.

Regards,
Bill Herrin

-- 
William D. Herrin ................ herrin at dirtside.com  bill at herrin.us
3005 Crane Dr. ...................... Web: <http://bill.herrin.us/>
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