[arin-ppml] ARIN-prop-172 Additional definition for NRPM Section 2 - Legacy Resources

[Owen DeLong]

> One possible, and likely, outcome is that they will turn to an alternative registry(ies) that ISPs come to see as a peer of ARIN because of the number of address resources registered within them. In that case ARIN would quickly cave and begin listing those "maverick" resources as well, in order to maintain a universal Whois and prevent a stronger migration to the other registry, which would no doubt list everyone. Contrary to Vixie, I do not see any major technical problem in coordinating separately maintained Whois's. It is the same registrar- registry separation model that is now used in the DNS.
> 

This works in DNS only because all semblance of rational policy was removed from DNS long ago. Most of it was removed by Verisign seeking to maximize profits. The remaining vestiges were removed by WIPO interests and the conversion to a registry/registrar system which added a profit motive to engage in a race to the bottom.

> Another possible outcome is that the legacy holders will be intimidated and start signing LRSAs in order to retain their listing. 
> 
> Right now, we avoid the game of chicken by sitting in a halfway house between these two extremes. 
> 
> Politically, it reminds me of US policy toward Taiwan and China. We recognize the PRC and don't recognize the independence of Taiwan, but Taiwan is an ally and if China tries to take it over by force, the US might intervene militarily. But we are not promising Taiwan will will intervene and we are not telling China whether we will intervene or not. Whoever makes the first move triggers the game of chicken. 

You left out the amount of annual arms sales we make to Taiwan and several other factors in that particular game of chicken.

Similarly, I don't think ARIN is likely to engage in this particular game of chicken unless absolutely necessary. It's really a short-term problem anyway. IPv4 is on the way out and the perceived monetary value of IPv4 resources is rather transient.

Hopefully after a few years of this silliness, we can return to managing resources based on rational number resource policy and take the monetary engineering aspects back out of it.

Owen

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