[arin-ppml] IPv4 Depletion as an ARIN policy concern

michael.dillon at bt.com michael.dillon at bt.com
Mon Oct 26 06:41:20 EDT 2009


>  If IP 
> addresses wind up trading at $200 per IP, that puts a million 
> of them at 200,000,000. 

Your math is simplistic. If there aren't very many IPv4 addresses
available, then $200 per IPv4 address seems a likely cost. But there
will only be 256 addresses on offer. To get a million IPv4 addresses
will require you to pay  billions of dollars to shake them loose, to the
extent of buying controlling interest in the IPv4 address holder. There
is no IPv4 address market, and there is not likely to ever be such a
market as IPv4 addresses become scarcer and scarcer as every day passes.
Yes, their value rises, but the supply is shrinking faster than the rise
in value.


> When IANA hands out the last /8s, it's going to be worldwide 
> news and they're going to catch on really quickly.  

And it will be to late to do anything other than to accelerate
your IPv6 deployment programs. It's probably even too late today
to do anything else.

--Michael Dillon



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