[arin-ppml] Will the price per IP really be affected by the transfer market introduced in 2009-1?

[Joe Maimon]

Ted Mittelstaedt wrote:
> Hi All,
> 
>   I have a question for everyone's consideration.
> 
>   If a transfer market goes into effect, after 5 years, what would a
> reasonable
> estimate be for the amount of IPv4 in production, that was in production as
> a
> result of a costly org-to-org directed transfer?   And, is it realistic to
> assume that cost of all other IPv4 to the customer will be affected?
> 
>   If for example, after 5 years only .005% of all IPv4 in service
> on the Internet was in service as a result of a transfer, then even if
> /8's are going for 50 million dollars, wouldn't competition pretty
> much mandate that the ISP paying transfer fees be utterly
> unable to pass that cost along to their customers as a surcharge on
> IPv4?
> 
> Ted
> 

Economically speaking, this is (theoretically) self-correcting.