[arin-ppml] fair warning: less than 1000 days lefttoIPv4 exhaustion

[Ted Mittelstaedt]

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Bill Darte [mailto:BillD at cait.wustl.edu] 
> Sent: Monday, May 05, 2008 11:59 AM
> To: Ted Mittelstaedt; Geoff Huston; Paul Vixie
> Cc: ppml at arin.net
> Subject: RE: [arin-ppml] fair warning: less than 1000 days 
> lefttoIPv4 exhaustion
> 
> 
>  
> 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Ted Mittelstaedt [mailto:tedm at ipinc.net]
> > Sent: Monday, May 05, 2008 12:40 PM
> > To: Bill Darte; 'Geoff Huston'; 'Paul Vixie'
> > Cc: ppml at arin.net
> > Subject: RE: [arin-ppml] fair warning: less than 1000 days 
> > lefttoIPv4 exhaustion
> > 
> > 
> > > The range 1.5-4.5 is perhaps scarier....
> > 
> > To whom?
> > 
> > You know the interesting thing about this is that the ONLY
> > people who are scared about IPv4 runout are those who have a 
> > GROWING need for IP addresses.
> 
> The law of unintended consequences affects not only primarly 
> players in change. Preparations for business as usual is 
> always a strategic problem. Not engaging the issue of IPv4 
> runout and IPv6 adoption, changed transfer policy and 
> perterbations in the governance roles of the Internet are 
> issues that 'may' make an impact on organizations and 
> individuals not matter how hard they try to ignore them...I'm 
> thinking.
> 

Very good point.  But the obvious unintended consequence of an
IPv4-only policy for an organization is when someone goes online
with an IPv6-only site that one of the IPv4-only orgs customers
wants to get to, that customer will be naturally upset.

And so far, the "IPv6-only, you cannot connect to us if your IPv4"
swimming pool is empty, with a big crowd of dual-stacked orgs standing
around the edge, daring each other to jump in first.

Ted