[ppml] Policy Proposal: IPv4 Soft Landing

Randy Bush randy at psg.com
Fri May 18 17:42:13 EDT 2007


Tony Hain wrote:
> Randy Bush wrote:
>>> Your analogies are fine, but try another one: We are on the space 
>>> shuttle (no engines or means for a go-around) and the current glide 
>>> slope is too steep to avoid a hard landing because there is not 
>>> enough distance left (reserve pool) to the runway. All you can really
>>>  do is brace for impact ...
>> not applicable.  in fact, rather embarrassing hyperbole.  the internet
>>  is not going to crash.  there will be no news at 11.
>> 
>> ipv4 space will slowly transition to a different model of distribution,
>>  where folk chop it finer, buy, sell, and trade, etc.  you will still 
>> be able to get ipv4 space 20 years from now, just not as cheaply as you
>>  can now, just as we pay more now than we did 20 years ago.  life goes 
>> on.  so will the internet.
>> 
>> we need to understand these changes, be prepared for them technically 
>> and in our business plans, etc.  where we is both the users of the 
>> space and the registrars of the space such as arin.  hence the work on 
>> certifying the rights to use resources.
>> 
>> personally, i am more worried that the vendors are being a bit, shall 
>> we be polite and say, optimistic about their ability to converge with 
>> O(10^6|7) routes in the dfz than i am about not being able to get ipv4 
>> space if i really need it.
>> 
>> chicken little was wrong.
> 
> I did not say that the Internet would end. What does end rather abruptly
>  though is the wonderland where the RIRs are in any position to claim 
> stewardship.

you may want to read your message again.

> Yes you will be able to get space on the open market, but what is your
> incentive to retain membership at ARIN and have to report back all the
> blocks you just acquired? Bottom line; where does ARIN funding come from
> in a world where addresses are traded on eBay?

certification of title, in-addr.arpa, ...

randy



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