[ppml] Combining Forecasts

Randy Bush randy at psg.com
Thu Aug 30 22:30:35 EDT 2007


>> except for how amusingly accurate frank solensky was over a 
>> decade ago.
> 
> Once upon a time, Frank said this:
> 
>    Frank Solensky: ...(my) estimates for
>    maximum address space utilization
>    have risen about 8% over the last 3
>    years. If one were to argue for
>    extrapolating this over time as well,
>    the resulting statement would be that
>    "in the year 2019, the trend line will
>    suggest that we will eventually run
>    out of IPv4 addresses".
> 
> 
> Given that current projections point to 2010 as the date, what was so
> amusingly accurate about what Frank said?

because that excerpt was not all that he said

randy



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