[ppml] Combining Forecasts

Iljitsch van Beijnum iljitsch at muada.com
Thu Aug 30 12:42:48 EDT 2007


On 30-aug-2007, at 17:54, Michael K. Smith - Adhost wrote:

> If we tell them we're
> going to run out in 2010 and we don't run out until 2019, it looks  
> like
> the boy who cried wolf, and then we'll have panic in 2019 because  
> no one
> believes the forecasts.

We're already there: for a long time, we were supposed to run out in  
2005, but obviously, that didn't happen. The US government was  
pushing GOSIP at one but that didn't go anywhere.



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