[arin-discuss] urgency of IPv6

[Owen DeLong]

On Jun 25, 2010, at 11:57 AM, Ted Mittelstaedt wrote:

> 
> 
> On 6/25/2010 11:38 AM, Lee Howard wrote:
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> ----- Original Message ----
>>> From: Ted Mittelstaedt<tedm at ipinc.net>
>>> To: arin-discuss at arin.net
>>> Sent: Thu, June 24, 2010 3:19:43 PM
>>> Subject: Re: [arin-discuss] urgency of IPv6
>>> 
>>> In the US the ISP
>>> market is at saturation, it has
>>> matured and nobody is really
>>> growing unless someone else is shrinking.
>> 
>> The Caribbean is growing at a good pace.
>> See also any statistics about growth, and make sure
>> to include devices with IP capabilities (handhelds,
>> consoles, etc.).
>> 
>> 
>>> I can easily imagine a scenario where the rest of the
>>> world ends up moving to IPv6 and sells it's IPv4 back to ISP's in
>>> the US via the transfer market.
>> 
>> Potential transfer recipients in the US will be
>> competing against potential recipients within the
>> region of origin.
>> 
>>> Internet experience
>>> consists mainly of accessing Hulu, Ebay, and CNN,
>>> since clearly
>>> the content providers are going to be the very last ones
>>> to go to IPv6-only.
>> 
>> I believe Hulu is owned by NBC Universal, in process
>> of being acquired by Comcast, which is deploying IPv6.
>> "The public-facing eBay Web site will be upgraded for what's called
>> dual-stack IPv4 and IPv6 access in 2011.
>> "
>> http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/020410-ipv6-web-sites.html?page=1
>> CNN is served by a CDN, so it will be available when the CDN is.
>> 
>> It is not clear that content providers will be last.  There
>> are good reasons for content providers to prefer IPv6 over
>> the alternatives.
>> 
> 
> If the content providers are getting any money for providing
> content (ie: advertising revenue) then they will definitely be
> last to drop IPv4.
> 
Who cares... Dropping IPv4 is irrelevant. What counts is when
they add IPv6. They will be among the first to add IPv6. The
larger and smarter ones already are.


Owen