[arin-discuss] urgency of IPv6

[Lee Howard]

----- Original Message ----
> From: Ted Mittelstaedt <tedm at ipinc.net>
> To: arin-discuss at arin.net
> Sent: Thu, June 24, 2010 3:19:43 PM
> Subject: Re: [arin-discuss] urgency of IPv6
> 
> In the US the ISP
> market is at saturation, it has 
> matured and nobody is really
> growing unless someone else is shrinking.  

The Caribbean is growing at a good pace.
See also any statistics about growth, and make sure
to include devices with IP capabilities (handhelds,
consoles, etc.).


> I can easily imagine a scenario where the rest of the 
> world ends up moving to IPv6 and sells it's IPv4 back to ISP's in
> the US via the transfer market.  

Potential transfer recipients in the US will be 
competing against potential recipients within the
region of origin.

> Internet experience
> consists mainly of accessing Hulu, Ebay, and CNN, 
> since clearly
> the content providers are going to be the very last ones 
> to go to IPv6-only.  

I believe Hulu is owned by NBC Universal, in process 
of being acquired by Comcast, which is deploying IPv6.
"The public-facing eBay Web site will be upgraded for what's called 
dual-stack IPv4 and IPv6 access in 2011.
"
http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/020410-ipv6-web-sites.html?page=1
CNN is served by a CDN, so it will be available when the CDN is.

It is not clear that content providers will be last.  There 
are good reasons for content providers to prefer IPv6 over
the alternatives.

Lee

Again, not a Board opinion, just mine.