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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Where did the 9% come from? Should that not be 24%?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Either way, if we were talking about houses then many of us realize that if the number of bidders on property who had the cash (but not the need) were 10 or 25%
larger, then you might expect the value of the property to be higher. The same is true with any inelastic good. I have no idea what the price elasticity of IP address space is, but I’m going to suggest that it’s very inelastic given the lack of alternatives
(IPv6 is an alternative, but it has other costs associated with it)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">I have not seen an argument that this policy will not increase the price of IPv4 addresses for people who have needs, and I can’t see that is a good thing.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12.0pt;line-height:12.0pt"><b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#111111">Richard Letts</span></b><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#111111"><br>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif"> arin-ppml-bounces@arin.net [mailto:arin-ppml-bounces@arin.net]
<b>On Behalf Of </b>John Curran<br>
<b>Sent:</b> 30 September 2015 12:29 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> Dani Roisman <droisman@softlayer.com><br>
<b>Cc:</b> arin-ppml@arin.net<br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [arin-ppml] Draft Policy ARIN-2015-9: Eliminating needs-based evaluation for Section 8.2, 8.3, and 8.4 transfers of IPv4 netblocks<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">On Sep 30, 2015, at 1:15 PM, John Curran <<a href="mailto:jcurran@arin.net">jcurran@arin.net</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Unfortunately, we do not have any readily-available way to correlate the<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">not-completed tickets with intended block size. We do have overall <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">transfer ticket closure statistics available.<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">8.3 / 8.2 Ticket statistics to date - <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">153 8.3 tickets closed<br>
106 completed (69%)<br>
37 withdrawn (24%)<br>
4 duplicate (3%)<br>
3 abandoned (2%)<br>
3 closed for another reason (2%)<br>
<br>
82 8.2 tickets closed<br>
68 completed (83%)<br>
12 withdrawn (15%)<br>
1 duplicate (1%)<br>
1 other (1%)<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">If one presumes that demonstration of need is a more significant concern<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">for 8.3 transfers (generalization, but plausible) _and_ that there was no <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">other significant factor (lots of hand-waving at this point), then there is a <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">9% withdrawal rate (and potentially 2% abandoned rate) that one might <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">bravely attribute to the consequences of needs-assessment. <o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">/John<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">John Curran<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">President and CEO<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal">ARIN<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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