[arin-ppml] ARIN-2019-19 Require IPv6 before receiving Section 8 IPv4 Transfers

Martin Hannigan hannigan at gmail.com
Mon Jan 20 16:31:24 EST 2020


On Mon, Jan 20, 2020 at 3:31 PM Mark Andrews <marka at isc.org> wrote:

>
>
> > On 21 Jan 2020, at 03:19, Michel Py <michel at arneill-py.sacramento.ca.us>
> wrote:
> >
> >> Andrew Kirch wrote :
> >> I post here very rarely to not at all but your assertion that "IPv6
> >> is leveling off" ranges somewhere between insane and drug-addled.
> >> https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html
> >
> > Zoom the graph between July 2019 and today and tell us which drug it is
> you are taking that shows you any growth for the last 6 or 7 months. Must
> be the good stuff. Shrooms ?
>
> First peak in July 29.41% - Jan 18 30.39%.  Still going up.
>

That graph only represents Google. Not the Internet.

http://bgp.potaroo.net/cgi-bin/plota?file=%2Fvar%2Fdata%2Fbgp%2Fv6%2Fas2.0%2Fbgp-active.txt&descr=BGP+Entries+-+FIB&ylabel=BGP+Entries+-+FIB&range=Month&StartDate=01-Jan-2018&EndDate=01-Jan-2020&yrange=--OR--&ymin=75000&ymax=80000&Width=2&Height=2&with=Fill&color=auto&logscale=linear

Might be able to make a reasonable conclusion something is going on. Needs
a contrast.

https://www.arin.net/reference/research/statistics/historical/

Eyeballing start to 2018 then eyeballing 2019. Maybe.

Very hard as there are numerous contrasts. I'm not aware that anyone has
presented a single coherent measurement to say "the Internet" is slowing or
growing v6 wise. Traffic is not a reliable indicator. However, I honestly
don't think there's much to see here. YMMV.

Cheers,

-M<
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