[arin-ppml] Draft Policy ARIN-2014-14: Removing Needs TestfromSmall IPv4 Transfers

[Mike Burns]

The fact that the distribution both with and without needs basis seems to 
fall along roughly the same lines in terms of block size distribution seems 
to me to say that elimination of needs basis testing has not shown to have 
any meaningful effect, in fact.

Owen


Hi Owen,

This also means no evidence of speculation, unless for some reason you think 
speculators wish to engage in many small transactions for some reason. 
Clearly there were no speculators waiting with bated breath for the 
elimination of needs-testing so they could begin buying addresses, and also 
there is no evidence of overbuying by recipients who were otherwise limited 
by the amount they could justify.

I have seen fears that both of these activities would be the result of 
eliminating the needs-test, and we can say from this early data that such 
activity has not manifested to a large and obvious extent, at least.

In other words, there are limits to speculation baked-in, including 
fragmented supply, public recording of transactions, and looming IPv6.
And the limits to overbuying or hoarding are provided by the co$t of the 
addresses and the realization that there is likely to be a vibrant  and more 
open future market in IPv4 addresses for any future address needs.

Regards,
Mike