[arin-ppml] DRAFT POLICY ARIN-2011-1: GLOBALLY COORDINATEDTRANSFER POLICY (Legecy space)
Owen DeLong
owen at delong.com
Thu Apr 14 16:51:45 EDT 2011
I presume T1 and T2 in Milton's example were intended to be different participants.
I think it works whether you consider them participant identifiers or time identifiers for the same participant, frankly.
Owen
Sent from my iPad
On Apr 14, 2011, at 4:41 PM, Matthew Kaufman <matthew at matthew.at> wrote:
>
> On Apr 13, 2011, at 10:44 PM, Owen DeLong wrote:
>
>>
>> Let me attempt to explain it a bit more accurately:
>>
>> The Mueller theory:
>> --------------------------
>> At T1, upgrading network to IPv6 costs $1000, more ipv4 addresses cost $1000. However, more IPv4 addresses will
>> allow T1's users to reach the still-only-on-IPv4 parts of the internet while upgrading to IPv6 without IPv4 addresses
>> will leave T1's users without such access, or, with severely degraded access to those parts of the internet that are
>> still IPv4-only. Rational actor picks buying more v4.
>> At T2, upgrading network to IPv6 costs $1000, more ipv4 addresses cost $2000. Same constraints on the usefulness
>> of the IPv4 addresses apply. "Rational" actor ignores this disparity of usefulness and chooses the cheap
>> connectivity. T2 loses his customers as a result and goes bankrupt. The price of IPv4 addresses drops as
>> T2s IP addresses are now available cheap in a bankruptcy fire sale.
>>
>> The DeLong theory:
>> --------------------------
>> At T1, upgrading network to IPv6 costs $1000, more ipv4 addresses cost $1000. However, more IPv4 addresses will
>> allow T1's users to reach the still-only-on-IPv4 parts of the internet while upgrading to IPv6 without IPv4 addresses
>> will leave T1's users without such access, or, with severely degraded access to those parts of the internet that are
>> still IPv4-only. Rational actor picks buying more v4. Further, since T1 sees the writing on the walls, he also spends
>> $1,000 to upgrade his network to IPv4/IPv6 dual-stack so that his customers can reach both the IPv4 and the IPv6
>> capable parts of the internet.
>> At T2, upgrading network to IPv6 costs $1000, more ipv4 addresses cost $2000. Same constraints on the usefulness
>> of the IPv4 addresses apply. "Rational" actor recognizes that keeping his customer has a value in excess of
>> the price disparity and purchases the more expensive IPv4 addresses. Unfortunately, this unexpected additional
>> cost of IPv4 addresses means that the $1000 he was planning on spending to get to IPv6 has now been
>> diverted into the additional cost of IPv4 and there is no money to upgrade to IPv6. The provider is now trapped
>> in a very difficult position where it will become ever-increasingly expensive to grow his network with IPv4,
>> but he desperately needs capital to deploy IPv6.
>>
>> Does this make sense to anyone?
>
> No, because I can't tell if "T2" is a participant who isn't "T1" or a time later than "T1"
>
> Matthew Kaufman
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