[arin-ppml] debunking the myth that Moore's law helps
schnizlein at isoc.org
Fri Dec 18 16:34:42 EST 2009
20 years seems too long an estimate IMHO.
Don't you think that somebody will want to download the equivalent of
the 3D Blu-ray standard format that was announced today, within about
a year of being able to get the disc?
On 2009Dec18, at 3:04 PM, Davis, Terry L wrote:
> I suspect that 3-D imaging systems will be the next really big leap;
> hopefully we have 20 or so years before that occurs.
> Take care
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net [mailto:arin-ppml-
>> bounces at arin.net] On
>> Behalf Of Lee Dilkie
>> Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 11:18 AM
>> To: Michel Py
>> Cc: arin-ppml at arin.net
>> Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] debunking the myth that Moore's law helps
>> I wonder how much b/w to the home is actually needed and if there
>> is a
>> natural demand "limit". It seems to me that once b/w to the home
>> realtime HD video there's not really much more that is required
>> for separate channels for the kids, of course). If you think about
>> there's only historically been two drivers for b/w throughout the
>> history of communications. Ignoring the original low b/w uses, morse
>> code, teletype, etc, we have realtime voice and realtime video. For
>> years, video has stabilized at about 3 Mhz b/w and it's only with the
>> advent of HD that we have exceeded that (is that true? I'm not sure,
>> considering compression and all).
>> Is it really reasonable to expect future b/w demands to the home to
>> going up and up? What drivers do you see for this?
>> Just curious.
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