[arin-ppml] debunking the myth that Moore's law helps
Davis, Terry L
terry.l.davis at boeing.com
Fri Dec 18 15:04:52 EST 2009
I suspect that 3-D imaging systems will be the next really big leap; hopefully we have 20 or so years before that occurs.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net [mailto:arin-ppml-bounces at arin.net] On
> Behalf Of Lee Dilkie
> Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 11:18 AM
> To: Michel Py
> Cc: arin-ppml at arin.net
> Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] debunking the myth that Moore's law helps
> I wonder how much b/w to the home is actually needed and if there is a
> natural demand "limit". It seems to me that once b/w to the home reaches
> realtime HD video there's not really much more that is required (except
> for separate channels for the kids, of course). If you think about it,
> there's only historically been two drivers for b/w throughout the
> history of communications. Ignoring the original low b/w uses, morse
> code, teletype, etc, we have realtime voice and realtime video. For 80
> years, video has stabilized at about 3 Mhz b/w and it's only with the
> advent of HD that we have exceeded that (is that true? I'm not sure,
> considering compression and all).
> Is it really reasonable to expect future b/w demands to the home to keep
> going up and up? What drivers do you see for this?
> Just curious.
> Michel Py wrote:
> > Pretty good indeed. This also means that by the first day ISPs start to
> > deploy GigE for residential Internet service, the typical home "router"
> > will already be capable of sucking this GigE pipe dry.
> > The days of forklift upgrades may not be over, after all.
> > Michel.
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