[arin-ppml] Q1 - ARIN address transfer policy

[Randy Bush]

John Curran wrote:
> where's all of the modeling from the open market folks regarding
> consequences to the routing table?

i believe lucy's theory.  the vast majority of blocks will trade pretty
much straight across in a year or so, flushing out the unused space; the
goal of the exercise.

follow the cash.  what this discussion is really about is who gets the
money, the rir bureaucracies or the holders of the resources.  as usual,
the internet can and will cut out the middleman.  it's just business.
get over it.

the impact on the table will be that of bringing the current unannounced
space back into use, multiplied by the idiocy factor that defrags
current blocks no matter how acquired.

and recycling them through the rir bureaucracies will have little effect
except to monetize the process in favor of supporting the bureaucracies.

and then, no matter how allocated by whom, slow continual defrag as more
and more ipv4 space is used to front nats.  again, irrespective of how
acquired.

that the arin region really has any control over the routing table any
more is a fantasy overridden by greed and self-interest [0].  we are too
good at overgrazing the commons and pissing in the drinking water.  just
look at the actual routing table, over half /24s.

randy

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[0] - japan is a bit different; much more cooperative and conservative
      dealing with common resources and planning.  but it is one small
      island chain.