[ppml] Proposed Policy: IPv4 Countdown

Randy Bush randy at psg.com
Wed Mar 14 18:30:20 EDT 2007

> Any visibly scarce resource where potential demand exceeds supply is 
> subject to a run. The models I've been working on with respect to 
> IPv4 exhaustion (http://ipv4.potaroo.net) make he flawed assumption 
> that there will be no run and the procession to Ipv4 unallocated pool 
> exhaustion will be an orderly one. If it indeed plays out this way it 
> may well be the first time in the entire history of humanity.

have there been hands on the governor before, i.e. the rirs?  except
ripe, which seems dedicated to running v4 out asap, the others seem to
be continuing their course of stewardship.  will be interesting to see
if this has any effect.

my major problem with this proposal, which i have voiced in the apnic
forum whence it came, is that holding back some space is going to cause
a major layer 10-20 power play for that last withheld space, with
un/itu, governments, ... all wanting to help and very very urgently. one
other aspect of a scarce resource is the intervention for over the last
bits.  this will be the most destructive effect on the technology and
culture we will have ever seen.  end of the internet as we know it.
news at 11.  gmt, of course.


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