[ppml] Combining Forecasts

Michael K. Smith - Adhost mksmith at adhost.com
Thu Aug 30 16:03:03 EDT 2007

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Iljitsch van Beijnum [mailto:iljitsch at muada.com]
> Sent: Thursday, August 30, 2007 12:48 PM
> To: Michael K. Smith - Adhost
> Cc: Howard, W. Lee; David Conrad; Public Policy Mailing List
> Subject: Re: [ppml] Combining Forecasts
> On 30-aug-2007, at 21:35, Michael K. Smith - Adhost wrote:
> > If all of the RIR's officially published a historical allocation
> table
> > showing the allocations and de-allocations down to the minimum
> > allocation size for that RIR plus a date stamp that would be
> > sufficient
> > to do a complete analysis and projection.  Perhaps this information
> > already exists at each of the RIR's individually?
> Yes, they publish it daily on their FTP sites. Let me know if you
> want the php script to dump this info in a mysql database.

Is this the same script that feeds
http://www.bgpexpert.com/addrspace.php or something similar?  If so I
would greatly appreciate the tool so that I can munge the data at will.

I should add that having the data is Step 1.  What is the likelihood of
the RIR's accepting a statistical analysis of that data with an attached
projection and then officially announcing that timeline?  It seems like
this second step is required for someone to use it as a foundation for
making corporate policy regarding IP (4/6) deployments.



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