[ppml] Policy Proposal: Decreasing Exponential Rationing of IPv4 IP Addresses - AC did not accept

[Member Services]

On 23 August 2007, the ARIN Advisory Council (AC) concluded its review
of the proposed policy 'Decreasing Exponential Rationing of IPv4 IP
Addresses' and did not accept it as a formal policy proposal. The AC did
not accept the proposal because it presents an approach, rather than
defines a policy. There are no details around how or where it adds to,
or alters, the current version of the NRPM.

During the initial review period the AC may decide to:
1)  Accept the proposal as a formal policy proposal as written.
2)  Postpone their decision regarding the proposal until the next
regularly scheduled AC meeting in order to work with the author.
3)  Not accept the policy proposal.

In the event that the AC decides not to accept the proposal, then the
author may elect to use the petition process to advance the proposal.
For petition details see the section called "Petition Process" in the
ARIN Internet Resource Policy Evaluation Process which can be found at:
http://www.arin.net/policy/irpep.html

The deadline for the author to initiate a petition per the ARIN Internet
Resource Policy Evaluation Process is 40 days prior to the meeting; the
petition deadline for the ARIN XX Public Policy Meeting is 23:59 EDT, 7
September 2007. If the author chooses not to petition or the petition is
unsuccessful, then the proposed policy is closed. If a petition is
successful, then the proposal will be numbered and posted for discussion
and presented at ARIN's Public Policy Meeting.

Regards,

Member Services
American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN)


Member Services wrote:
> ARIN received the following policy proposal. In accordance with the ARIN
> Internet Resource Policy Evaluation Process, the proposal is being
> posted to the ARIN Public Policy Mailing List (PPML) and being placed on
> ARIN's website.
> 
> The ARIN Advisory Council (AC) will review this proposal at their next
> regularly scheduled meeting. The AC may decide to:
> 
>    1. Accept the proposal as a formal policy proposal as written. If the
> AC accepts the proposal, it will be posted as a formal policy proposal
> to PPML and it will be presented at a Public Policy Meeting.
> 
>    2. Postpone their decision regarding the proposal until the next
> regularly scheduled AC meeting in order to work with the author. The AC
> will work with the author to clarify, combine or divide the proposal. At
> their following meeting the AC will accept or not accept the proposal.
> 
>    3. Not accept the proposal. If the AC does not accept the proposal,
> the AC will explain their decision. If a proposal is not accepted, then
> the author may elect to use the petition process to advance their
> proposal. If the author elects not to petition or the  petition fails,
> then the proposal will be closed.
> 
> The AC will assign shepherds in the near future. ARIN will provide the
> names of the shepherds to the community via the PPML.
> 
> In the meantime, the AC invites everyone to comment on this proposal on
> the PPML, particularly their support or non-support and the reasoning
> behind their opinion. Such participation contributes to a thorough
> vetting and provides important guidance to the AC in their deliberations.
> 
> The ARIN Internet Resource Policy Evaluation Process can be found at:
> http://www.arin.net/policy/irpep.html
> 
> Mailing list subscription information can be found at:
> http://www.arin.net/mailing_lists/
> 
> Regards,
> 
> Member Services
> American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN)
> 
> 
> ## * ##
> 
> 
> Policy Proposal Name: Decreasing Exponential Rationing of IPv4 IP Addresses
> 
> Author: Dean Anderson
> 
> Proposal Version: 1
> 
> Submission Date: 8/18/07
> 
> Proposal type: new
> 
> Policy term: renewable
> 
> Policy statement:
> 
> ARIN will ration the remaining available IP Address Space according to a
> decreasing exponential function in the family of e^(-x), where the
> ultimate function and factors are chosen to ensure that the remaining IP
> address space lasts for at least 10 years.
> This function will be used to limit the IP Address space allocations.
> If IP Address Space becomes available (e.g. via return), the ration can
> be recalculated.  However, Ration calculations will not be based on
> projected or anticipated returns. Contested IP Address Space will also
> be excluded from the amount of available Address Space for ration
> calculations.
> 
> Rationale:
> 
> Two reports[1,2] project that IP Addresses will be exhausted around
> March 2010.
> 
> * Both reports agree that if IP Addresses continue to delegated at the
> present rates, we will run out of space in March 2010.
> 
> * Everyone seems to agree that depletion will be a very bad event.
> 
> * It is therefore imperative to begin rationing to slow down the rate of
> new delegations to conserve the available address space.
> 
> * It is necessary to do this now. One can't start rationing after the
> resources run out.
> 
> Sudden IPv4 IP Address Exhaustion is expected to cause sudden disruption
> and discontinuity in business operations and planning.  As with other
> limited resources, the mere anticipation of exhaustion will lead to
> hoarding and other behaviors that increase the harm of a sudden exhaustion.
> 
> Rationing on a decreasing exponential will essentially prevent total
> exhaustion and will gradually decrease the rate of IP Address delegation
> so to alleviate the harms of a sudden stop in IP Address delegation.
> 
> Prevention of IPv4 IP Address Exhaustion will help ensure a smooth
> transition to IPV6.
> 
> Rationing helps ensures that IP Address space remains available to
> future needs.
> 
> 
> [1] http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html
> [2] http://www.tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ipv4-pool-combined-view.pdf
> 
> Timetable for implementation: Immediate
> 
> 
> 
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