[ppml] Policy Proposal: 2007-12 IPv4 Countdown Policy Proposal

Leo,

  Thank you very much for your simplification on our proposal
and summarization of the discussion.  

It is not "over-"simplification but precisely figuring out
our motivation and original idea.

Regards,
Akinori

P.S. -	I must admit it is very hard for me to catch up all 
	discussion on this mailing list, even in my native 
	language it should be tough.


In message <20070320233652.GC37431 at ussenterprise.ufp.org>
   "Re: [ppml] Policy Proposal: 2007-12 IPv4 Countdown Policy Proposal"
   "Leo Bicknell <bicknell at ufp.org>" wrote:

| While I think there has been a lot of good discussion generated
| from the IPv4 policy, a lot of it has strayed from the original
| policy proposal.  I'm going to attempt to bring that back around a
| bit as we need to tackle the issue of address space exhaustion.
| 
| To that end, I'd like to oversimplify the proposal.  Language,
| format, and justification aside I believe the proposal can be boiled
| down to the following simpler statement:
| 
|     The RIR's, in order to assure the orderly shutdown of IPv4
|     allocations should do their best to predict the date at which
|     there will be no more IPv4 addresses available, should announce
|     a termination date just before the predicted exhaustion, and
|     should cease allocations on that date even if there is some
|     address space still available.
| 
| I believe the intent of the authors is to realize a number of potential
| benefits:
| 
| - There is a well known date at which no more IPv4 space will be
|   available, making it easier for those needed addresses to show their
|   management the need for alternate plans.
| 
| - By the RIR's shutting down distributions of addresses at the same
|   time it prevents the "last RIR standing" from being swamped by every
|   international company solely because they still have addresses.
| 
| Of course, there are drawbacks:
| 
| - This requires global coordination.
| 
| - We may leave some IPv4 space unused that could otherwise be put to
|   good use.
| 
| - This policy itself may cause a run on IP space.
| 
| There are alternatives, Owen DeLong just wrote about what would probably
| be considered the opposite viewpoint in another message, I quote:
| 
|     I believe that the system will function and that there is no need
|     to  do anything different until ARIN is unable to fulfill requests.
|     At that time,  ARIN should fulfill request it can on a
|     first-come-first-serve basis and provide  a polite apology in
|     response to requests which cannot be fulfilled.  I do not  believe
|     a change of policy is required in order for ARIN staff to do this.
| 
| Last, in an attempt to keep the discussion focused, I'd ask you to
| consider if these related topics are relevant to this policy's thread,
| along with why I think most are not:
| 
| - Reclamation of unused address space.  It doesn't matter if we do this
|   or not, all predictions are we still run out of address space.  All
|   this does is move the date, which is a valid discussion but the topic at
|   hand here is what happens when the RIR's have no more space to
|   allocate.
| 
| - Encouraging people to use less IPv4 addresses, including but not
|   limited to higher fees, required use of NAT, rejustification of existing
|   IPs.   Same issue, it delays the date we run out, but doesn't change
|   the problem of what the RIR's should do when they run out.
| 
| - Are the predictions of when we run out correct?  Same problem, doesn't
|   matter if it's 2010, 2020, or 2050, the question is what do we do when
|   it happens.
| 
| I'd like to see all three of those issues discussed, just in another
| thread.
| 
| -- 
|        Leo Bicknell - bicknell at ufp.org - CCIE 3440
|         PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/
| Read TMBG List - tmbg-list-request at tmbg.org, www.tmbg.org
| 
| 
| 
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