[ppml] Policy Proposal: Expand timeframe of Additional Requests
Cliff Bedore
cliffb at cjbsys.bdb.com
Thu Aug 16 13:24:27 EDT 2007
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> > David Conrad wrote: > > > >> 3) History. The history of technology change has been that as soon > >> as something new is introduced, people start getting afraid of > >> being left behind and they will jump on the new thing, even if the > >> old thing works as well or even better. > >> > > > > This does not appear to have impacted the uptake of IPv6. > > > > > > > And this is where the earlier VHS vs BETAMAX analogy fails. > > When two competing technologies are head to head at the same time, and > both offer (roughly) the same solution, your get these classic battles; > VHS vs BETAMAX, Blu-RAY vs HD_DVD and of course, IP vs (IPX, banyan, > X.25, SNA, the list goes on). > > There was a clear winner (eventually) in all those. > > However, comparing IPv6 to IPv4 isn't the same as VHS vs BETAMAX. > Imagine if only BETAMAX was available in the early 80's (late 70's?) and > VHS came along 10 years later. It offers no compelling reason to upgrade > since it only offers essentially the same feature set. It'd never even > get off the ground. For the consumer, a completely new technology with a > compelling advantage needed to come along before VHS was abandoned (DVD > was that). > I think a better analogy would be CDROMS. Everybody could read and eventually write to them. When DVDs came along (at least in the computer sense), they could read and write CDROMs. As I understand it, HD_DVD and BLU-RAY will also be backward compatible. That made adopting the new technology a no-brainer. I could read and write CDs with my DVD as well as create DVDs. IPv6 offers no such backward compatibility (Ok dual-stack does but it ain't quite the same). This will make it much harder to convince people that they want to change. The only technology thing I can think of that is as disruptive is the HDTV debacle foisted on the US by the FCC. Again a very disruptive technology change. (which I'll adopt around Feb 2009 :-) ) Cliff > I see IPv6 in the same boat, trying to compete with IPv4 10 years (okay, > probably like 25 years) later with essentially the same feature set. > That's a hard sell. > > And folks. Please don't forget. The only migration strategy towards IPv6 > is dual-stack. Folks are going to need both v6 and v4 addresses for a > long time, this isn't going to relieve pressure for v4 addresses. > > -lee > _______________________________________________ > PPML > You are receiving this message because you are subscribed to the ARIN Public Policy > Mailing List (PPML at arin.net). > Unsubscribe or manage your mailing list subscription at: > http://lists.arin.net/mailman/listinfo/ppml Please contact the ARIN Member Services > Help Desk at info at arin.net if you experience any issues. > -- Cliff Bedore 7403 Radcliffe Dr. College Park MD 20740 cliffb at cjbsys.bdb.com http://www.bdb.com Amateur Radio Call Sign W3CB For info on ham radio, http://www.arrl.org/
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