NAIPR Message

Forcible reclamation?

> There are three related issues the registries are getting hit over the
> head to fix:
> 
> 1) limitiation on address space
> 
> 2) limitations of router forwarding table space
> 
> 3) limitations of router CPU for processing updates.
> 
> While my understanding is that the current criticality ordering of
> these resources is 3, 2, 1, this does NOT mean that limitation on
> address space is not a concern.  Revocation would simply mean that it
> would continue to be third in the prioritization.

That's a very good characterization of the issue.  (I wish I could be
that accurate and concise.)

In terms of when one hits the wall on #1, Frank Solensky of FTP Software
has been doing projections for a couple of years regarding when address
space prefixes run out.  And he's projecting a very long time (the year
2015 sticks in my mind) for exhausion of classic class b and c chunks. His
last projection is perhaps a close to a year out of date.  (One would hope
that ipv6 or nat would be more widely deployed by then ;-)

Are other people coming up with more conservative (i.e. exhaustion occurs
sooner) estimates?  If so, and if exhaustion is projected by the millenium
or thereabouts, then my premise would be incorrect.

		--karl--